{"id":39,"date":"2017-06-23T15:42:43","date_gmt":"2017-06-23T15:42:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/hmdl.site\/?p=39"},"modified":"2017-06-23T15:42:43","modified_gmt":"2017-06-23T15:42:43","slug":"the-housing-situation-in-the-washington-region-november-30-2005","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hmdl.site\/index.php\/2017\/06\/23\/the-housing-situation-in-the-washington-region-november-30-2005\/","title":{"rendered":"The Housing Situation in the Washington Region (November 30, 2005)"},"content":{"rendered":"

Background<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n

A principal theme in many recent development proposals in the Dulles Corridor is the need for housing in general and workplace\/affordable housing in particular. \u00a0Regional and county-wide statistics have oft been quoted and the suggestion has been made that the re-planning of the Hunter Mill Special Study area is unquestionably a component to the solution for the overall housing problem. This paper addresses the question: Are the housing needs in the County so pressing that long-standing planning principles and the Concept for Future Development in Area III should be summarily abandoned via spot planning?<\/span><\/p>\n

Regional Forecasts and Analysis<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n

The Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments (MWCOG\u00a0 www.mwcog.org<\/a>), regularly provides forecasts of housing, employment and population growth for the region. \u00a0Regarding the data they supply, they state that\u00a0 \u201c..these data are the only official planning forecasts accepted by those who make government policy decisions for the region\u201d.<\/b>\u00a0 Indeed, all serious discussion of the future of the region utilize this data in some form. \u00a0Each jurisdiction in the region looks at their own master plan and provides growth projections based on what is in their plan.\u00a0 Those projections are reconciled with a regional model maintained by MWCOG.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The table below shows the most recent forecast, round 7.0 from 2005.\u00a0 This data differs from what is available in the \u201cGrowth Trends to 2030: Cooperative Forecasting in the Washington Region\u201d in that it includes seven counties which are an integral part or the regional picture, but are not members of MWCOG.<\/span><\/p>\n

MWCOG Round 7.0 Forecast Employment\/Housing Ratio for the Washington Region\u00a0<\/b>
\nwww.mwcog.org\/store\/item.asp?PUBLICATION_ID=242<\/a> and www.mwcog.org\/store\/item.asp?PUBLICATION_ID=243<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/td>\n\n

2000<\/b><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2005<\/b><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2010<\/b><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2015<\/b><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2020<\/b><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2025<\/b><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2030<\/b><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Employment<\/b><\/td>\n\n

3,504,111<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,778,403<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,167,833<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,466,166<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,738,019<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,993,172<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,231,680<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Housing<\/b><\/td>\n\n

2,143,412<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2,348,360<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2,554,636<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2,744,165<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2,896,732<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,039,855<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,172,371<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Emp\/ Housing Ratio<\/b><\/td>\n\n

1.63<\/b><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1.61<\/b><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1.63<\/b><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1.63<\/b><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1.64<\/b><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1.64<\/b><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1.65<\/b><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Key points:<\/u><\/b><\/span><\/p>\n